C/2015 ER61 (PANSTARRS)

메타데이터

항목
Designation C/2015 ER61 (PANSTARRS)
Type C
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2017-05-09T22:39:09.815040Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2021-04-15T23:33:07Z
Obs used 2826
NEO -
M1 10.700
K1 5.750
PC -
Osculating 궤도요소
항목
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2017-04-30.0000000
e 0.99727861
q (au) 1.042132
a (au) 382.940360
i (deg) 6.348649
Ω (om, deg) 235.221741
ω (w, deg) 68.192259
M (ma, deg) 359.998692

밝기

C/2015 ER61 (PANSTARRS) · Magnitude (Full range)

산란 + 전체 선형

$$ M_a = (6.320 + 4.711\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

모델 상수

항목
H0 6.320
n 4.711
gf 0.992
gb -0.804
k 0.997
δ90 9.979
파라미터 기호 범위 설명
태양·지구거리 1 AU에서의 절대등급 H0 -5 to 20 혜성의 고유 밝기
광도 기울기 파라미터 n 2 to 6 태양거리 변화에 따른 밝기 변화율
전방 산란 비대칭 계수 gf 0.8 to 1 전방 산란의 강도
후방 산란 비대칭 계수 gb -1 to -0.5 후방 산란의 강도
분할 계수 k 0.8 to 1 전·후방 산란 기여도 비율
먼지/가스 밝기 비 δ90 1 to 10 코마에서 먼지 산란 대비 가스 방출의 상대 기여

참고: EPSC-DPS2025-160

잔차 (구간 선형)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

시작일 (UTC) 끝 (UTC) a b
2016-02-04 2017-05-08 -1.6782 -0.087
2017-05-13 2018-02-24 -0.6062 +0.657

log10 r = log10(태양거리/AU), Δ = 지구거리(AU)

천체력

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-05-12 00:00 06:30:54.62 +18:57:47.2 HIP 31014 20.28
2026-05-12 12:00 06:30:58.54 +18:57:47.8 HIP 31014 20.57
2026-05-13 00:00 06:31:02.49 +18:57:48.4 HIP 31014 20.90
2026-05-13 12:00 06:31:06.47 +18:57:48.9 HIP 31014 21.27
2026-05-14 00:00 06:31:10.47 +18:57:49.3 HIP 31014 21.67
2026-05-14 12:00 06:31:14.51 +18:57:49.6 HIP 31014 22.12
2026-05-15 00:00 06:31:18.57 +18:57:49.9 HIP 31014 22.60
2026-05-15 12:00 06:31:22.66 +18:57:50.1 HIP 31014 23.11
2026-05-16 00:00 06:31:26.78 +18:57:50.3 HIP 31014 23.66
2026-05-16 12:00 06:31:30.92 +18:57:50.4 HIP 31014 24.23
2026-05-17 00:00 06:31:35.09 +18:57:50.4 HIP 31014 24.84
2026-05-17 12:00 06:31:39.29 +18:57:50.4 HIP 31014 25.48
2026-05-18 00:00 06:31:43.51 +18:57:50.3 HIP 31258 25.66
2026-05-18 12:00 06:31:47.76 +18:57:50.1 HIP 31258 24.75
2026-05-19 00:00 06:31:52.03 +18:57:49.9 HIP 31258 23.84
2026-05-19 12:00 06:31:56.33 +18:57:49.6 HIP 31258 22.94
2026-05-20 00:00 06:32:00.65 +18:57:49.2 HIP 31258 22.04
2026-05-20 12:00 06:32:05.00 +18:57:48.8 HIP 31258 21.15
2026-05-21 00:00 06:32:09.38 +18:57:48.3 HIP 31258 20.26
2026-05-21 12:00 06:32:13.77 +18:57:47.8 HIP 31258 19.39
2026-05-22 00:00 06:32:18.19 +18:57:47.2 HIP 31258 18.52
2026-05-22 12:00 06:32:22.63 +18:57:46.5 HIP 31261 17.66
2026-05-23 00:00 06:32:27.10 +18:57:45.8 HIP 31261 16.80
2026-05-23 12:00 06:32:31.59 +18:57:45.0 HIP 31261 15.97
2026-05-24 00:00 06:32:36.10 +18:57:44.1 HIP 31261 15.16
2026-05-24 12:00 06:32:40.63 +18:57:43.2 HIP 31261 14.37
2026-05-25 00:00 06:32:45.19 +18:57:42.2 HIP 31261 13.63
2026-05-25 12:00 06:32:49.76 +18:57:41.1 HIP 31261 12.92
2026-05-26 00:00 06:32:54.36 +18:57:40.0 HIP 31261 12.27
2026-05-26 12:00 06:32:58.98 +18:57:38.8 HIP 31261 11.68
2026-05-27 00:00 06:33:03.61 +18:57:37.6 HIP 31261 11.17
2026-05-27 12:00 06:33:08.27 +18:57:36.2 HIP 31261 10.73
2026-05-28 00:00 06:33:12.95 +18:57:34.9 HIP 31261 10.40
2026-05-28 12:00 06:33:17.65 +18:57:33.4 HIP 31261 10.17
2026-05-29 00:00 06:33:22.36 +18:57:31.9 HIP 31261 10.06
2026-05-29 12:00 06:33:27.10 +18:57:30.4 HIP 31261 10.08
2026-05-30 00:00 06:33:31.85 +18:57:28.7 HIP 31261 10.21
2026-05-30 12:00 06:33:36.63 +18:57:27.0 HIP 31261 10.47
2026-05-31 00:00 06:33:41.42 +18:57:25.3 HIP 31261 10.84
2026-05-31 12:00 06:33:46.22 +18:57:23.5 HIP 31261 11.31
2026-06-01 00:00 06:33:51.05 +18:57:21.6 HIP 31261 11.88
2026-06-01 12:00 06:33:55.90 +18:57:19.6 HIP 31261 12.52
2026-06-02 00:00 06:34:00.76 +18:57:17.6 HIP 31261 13.24