13P/Olbers

メタデータ

項目
Designation 13P/Olbers
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2024-06-30T17:39:58.435200Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2026-03-12T09:29:25Z
Obs used 2481
NEO Yes
M1 6.900
K1 18.000
PC -
オスキュレーティング軌道要素
項目
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2020-09-30.0000000
e 0.92970999
q (au) 1.172573
a (au) 16.681923
i (deg) 44.624812
Ω (om, deg) 85.862691
ω (w, deg) 64.528341
M (ma, deg) 340.186016

等級

13P/Olbers · Magnitude (Full range)

散乱 + 全体線形

$$ M_a = (6.030 + 6.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

モデル定数

項目
H0 6.030
n 6.000
gf 1.000
gb -1.000
k 1.000
δ90 10.000
パラメータ 記号 範囲 説明
太陽・地球距離が1 AUのときの絶対等級 H0 -5 to 20 彗星の固有の明るさ
測光スロープパラメータ n 2 to 6 太陽距離に対する明るさ変化率
前方散乱非対称係数 gf 0.8 to 1 前方散乱の強さ
後方散乱非対称係数 gb -1 to -0.5 後方散乱の強さ
分配係数 k 0.8 to 1 前方/後方散乱の寄与比
ダスト/ガス明るさ比 δ90 1 to 10 ダスト散乱とガス放射の相対寄与

参考: EPSC-DPS2025-160

残差 (区間線形)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

開始日 (UTC) 終了日 (UTC) a b
2023-08-13 2024-06-30 +9.7486 -3.048
2024-06-30 2025-07-31 -0.2116 -1.978

log10 r = log10(太陽距離/AU)、Δ = 地球距離(AU)

天体暦

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-05-12 00:00 19:30:54.85 -38:04:04.4 HIP 95956 3.44
2026-05-12 12:00 19:30:46.69 -38:06:00.7 HIP 95956 1.38
2026-05-13 00:00 19:30:38.36 -38:07:57.0 HIP 95956 2.19
2026-05-13 12:00 19:30:29.84 -38:09:53.4 HIP 95956 4.56
2026-05-14 00:00 19:30:21.15 -38:11:49.8 HIP 95956 7.10
2026-05-14 12:00 19:30:12.27 -38:13:46.2 HIP 95956 9.68
2026-05-15 00:00 19:30:03.21 -38:15:42.6 HIP 95956 12.31
2026-05-15 12:00 19:29:53.97 -38:17:39.0 HIP 95956 14.96
2026-05-16 00:00 19:29:44.55 -38:19:35.4 HIP 95736 16.36
2026-05-16 12:00 19:29:34.95 -38:21:31.8 HIP 95736 14.27
2026-05-17 00:00 19:29:25.18 -38:23:28.1 HIP 95736 12.39
2026-05-17 12:00 19:29:15.23 -38:25:24.4 HIP 95736 10.85
2026-05-18 00:00 19:29:05.10 -38:27:20.5 HIP 95736 9.82
2026-05-18 12:00 19:28:54.80 -38:29:16.7 HIP 95736 9.49
2026-05-19 00:00 19:28:44.32 -38:31:12.7 HIP 95736 9.95
2026-05-19 12:00 19:28:33.67 -38:33:08.6 HIP 95736 11.12
2026-05-20 00:00 19:28:22.85 -38:35:04.4 HIP 95736 12.82
2026-05-20 12:00 19:28:11.85 -38:37:00.0 HIP 95686 12.41
2026-05-21 00:00 19:28:00.69 -38:38:55.6 HIP 95686 9.80
2026-05-21 12:00 19:27:49.35 -38:40:50.9 HIP 95686 7.41
2026-05-22 00:00 19:27:37.85 -38:42:46.1 HIP 95686 5.57
2026-05-22 12:00 19:27:26.18 -38:44:41.2 HIP 95686 4.99
2026-05-23 00:00 19:27:14.35 -38:46:36.0 HIP 95686 6.06
2026-05-23 12:00 19:27:02.35 -38:48:30.6 HIP 95686 8.19
2026-05-24 00:00 19:26:50.19 -38:50:25.1 HIP 95615 9.21
2026-05-24 12:00 19:26:37.86 -38:52:19.3 HIP 95615 7.87
2026-05-25 00:00 19:26:25.37 -38:54:13.2 HIP 95615 7.64
2026-05-25 12:00 19:26:12.73 -38:56:06.9 HIP 95615 8.61
2026-05-26 00:00 19:25:59.92 -38:58:00.4 HIP 95615 10.48
2026-05-26 12:00 19:25:46.96 -38:59:53.6 HIP 95615 12.87
2026-05-27 00:00 19:25:33.84 -39:01:46.5 HIP 95615 15.57
2026-05-27 12:00 19:25:20.56 -39:03:39.1 HIP 95615 18.44
2026-05-28 00:00 19:25:07.13 -39:05:31.4 HIP 95326 18.07
2026-05-28 12:00 19:24:53.55 -39:07:23.4 HIP 95326 15.00
2026-05-29 00:00 19:24:39.81 -39:09:15.0 HIP 95326 11.98
2026-05-29 12:00 19:24:25.93 -39:11:06.3 HIP 95326 9.11
2026-05-30 00:00 19:24:11.90 -39:12:57.3 HIP 95326 6.58
2026-05-30 12:00 19:23:57.72 -39:14:47.8 HIP 95326 5.01
2026-05-31 00:00 19:23:43.39 -39:16:38.0 HIP 95326 5.35
2026-05-31 12:00 19:23:28.92 -39:18:27.9 HIP 95326 7.37
2026-06-01 00:00 19:23:14.30 -39:20:17.3 HIP 95326 10.13
2026-06-01 12:00 19:22:59.54 -39:22:06.3 HIP 95326 13.18
2026-06-02 00:00 19:22:44.65 -39:23:54.9 HIP 95326 16.38