C/2015 X4 (Elenin)

Metadata

Parameter Value
Designation C/2015 X4 (Elenin)
Type C
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2015-11-03T11:14:21.828480Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2022-05-19T21:12:39Z
Obs used 607
NEO -
M1 13.000
K1 4.500
PC -
Osculating Elements
Parameter Value
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2016-02-01.0000000
e 0.81280434
q (au) 3.394686
a (au) 18.134427
i (deg) 29.504921
Ω (om, deg) 262.635812
ω (w, deg) 176.329174
M (ma, deg) 1.142681

Magnitude

C/2015 X4 (Elenin) · Magnitude (Full range)

Scatter + Global Linear

$$ M_a = (11.919 + 2.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

Model Parameters

Parameter Value
H0 11.919
n 2.000
gf 0.806
gb -0.500
k 0.997
δ90 1.000
Parameter Symbol Range Description
Absolute magnitude at 1 AU from Sun and Earth H0 -5 to 20 Intrinsic brightness of the comet
Photometric slope parameter n 2 to 6 Rate of brightness change with heliocentric distance
Forward scattering asymmetry factor gf 0.8 to 1 Degree of forward scattering
Backward scattering asymmetry factor gb -1 to -0.5 Degree of backward scattering
Partitioning coefficient k 0.8 to 1 Ratio between forward/backward scattering contributions
Dust-to-gas brightness ratio δ90 1 to 10 Relative contribution of dust scattering to gas emission

Reference: EPSC-DPS2025-160

Residuals (Piecewise)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

Start (UTC) End (UTC) a b
2014-12-22 2015-11-02 +10.5196 -3.568
2015-12-02 2017-03-24 -2.7904 +1.550

log10 r = log10(heliocentric distance / AU), Δ = geocentric distance (AU)

Ephemeris

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-03-26 00:00 14:56:41.59 -35:14:17.9 HIP 73123 0.10
2026-03-26 12:00 14:56:37.02 -35:14:17.1 HIP 73123 0.98
2026-03-27 00:00 14:56:32.41 -35:14:15.9 HIP 73123 1.93
2026-03-27 12:00 14:56:27.75 -35:14:14.4 HIP 73123 2.88
2026-03-28 00:00 14:56:23.05 -35:14:12.5 HIP 73123 3.84
2026-03-28 12:00 14:56:18.31 -35:14:10.3 HIP 73123 4.81
2026-03-29 00:00 14:56:13.52 -35:14:07.8 HIP 73123 5.78
2026-03-29 12:00 14:56:08.70 -35:14:04.8 HIP 73123 6.77
2026-03-30 00:00 14:56:03.83 -35:14:01.6 HIP 73123 7.77
2026-03-30 12:00 14:55:58.92 -35:13:57.9 HIP 73123 8.77
2026-03-31 00:00 14:55:53.97 -35:13:53.9 HIP 73123 9.78
2026-03-31 12:00 14:55:48.98 -35:13:49.6 HIP 73082 10.53
2026-04-01 00:00 14:55:43.95 -35:13:44.9 HIP 73082 11.10
2026-04-01 12:00 14:55:38.88 -35:13:39.9 HIP 73082 11.73
2026-04-02 00:00 14:55:33.78 -35:13:34.5 HIP 73082 12.43
2026-04-02 12:00 14:55:28.63 -35:13:28.7 HIP 73082 13.19
2026-04-03 00:00 14:55:23.45 -35:13:22.6 HIP 73082 13.99
2026-04-03 12:00 14:55:18.23 -35:13:16.1 HIP 73082 14.83
2026-04-04 00:00 14:55:12.98 -35:13:09.3 HIP 73082 15.72
2026-04-04 12:00 14:55:07.68 -35:13:02.1 HIP 73082 16.63
2026-04-05 00:00 14:55:02.36 -35:12:54.6 HIP 73082 17.58
2026-04-05 12:00 14:54:57.00 -35:12:46.7 HIP 72948 18.42
2026-04-06 00:00 14:54:51.60 -35:12:38.4 HIP 72948 17.99
2026-04-06 12:00 14:54:46.17 -35:12:29.8 HIP 72948 17.61
2026-04-07 00:00 14:54:40.70 -35:12:20.9 HIP 72948 17.29
2026-04-07 12:00 14:54:35.21 -35:12:11.6 HIP 72948 17.04
2026-04-08 00:00 14:54:29.68 -35:12:01.9 HIP 72948 16.85
2026-04-08 12:00 14:54:24.12 -35:11:51.9 HIP 72948 16.73
2026-04-09 00:00 14:54:18.52 -35:11:41.5 HIP 72948 16.69
2026-04-09 12:00 14:54:12.90 -35:11:30.8 HIP 72948 16.72
2026-04-10 00:00 14:54:07.24 -35:11:19.7 HIP 72948 16.83
2026-04-10 12:00 14:54:01.56 -35:11:08.3 HIP 72948 17.01
2026-04-11 00:00 14:53:55.84 -35:10:56.5 HIP 72948 17.27
2026-04-11 12:00 14:53:50.10 -35:10:44.4 HIP 72806 16.77
2026-04-12 00:00 14:53:44.33 -35:10:31.9 HIP 72806 16.14
2026-04-12 12:00 14:53:38.53 -35:10:19.0 HIP 72806 15.57
2026-04-13 00:00 14:53:32.71 -35:10:05.8 HIP 72806 15.08
2026-04-13 12:00 14:53:26.85 -35:09:52.3 HIP 72806 14.68
2026-04-14 00:00 14:53:20.98 -35:09:38.4 HIP 72806 14.37
2026-04-14 12:00 14:53:15.07 -35:09:24.1 HIP 72806 14.17
2026-04-15 00:00 14:53:09.15 -35:09:09.5 HIP 72806 14.07
2026-04-15 12:00 14:53:03.19 -35:08:54.6 HIP 72806 14.09
2026-04-16 00:00 14:52:57.22 -35:08:39.3 HIP 72806 14.22